China's stock market to go "W" at the end?

New Year draws near, various organizations have issued strategies and industry research findings, said the overall decline of view more. On the macro-economic view of China's economy will be out of the "W-cycle adjustment model" to obtain the views of the majority consensus. Funny to say, I know what a "V-recession", "U-recession", "L-recession", and learned a "W-adjustment." Macroeconomic analysis, fitted with the use of the technical analysis of some models. This is why people count chart analysis of a case in point now. As for the macro-economic analysis can be applied to the analysis of the chart name, I imagined that the Chinese stock market will be the next one to two years following the end of W into the possibility of it. The stock market is the real economy's response, take the real economy "W", and that the stock market go into a "W" is the possibility of increase. Have been at the bottom of each form, are complex. Stock index last fell below 1000 points, no one had thought that it has a real bottom. At the end of 2005, only a keen investment professionals found that the index has refused to re-record the end. Thousand points at the end of big, hit the lowest point in half a year later, the real was confirmed. The stock market is at the bottom, no one can say is not clear. I know the point of view, the CICC is a clear look at the space that is currently still under-point drop 20% of the risk. (Details can be back to check my previous BLOG) and CITIC Securities that stock to rebound to 2300 points. The body Such differences, but also increased the fund managers are not as. The fund managers to operate more clearly based on nothing. These phenomena have increased in the future performance of the stock market's complexity. Obviously it is difficult stock index has sustained the rise of unilateralism, or unilateral down. Thousands of points in China's stock market has been running for over 12 years old, if a thousand points below, it has become a Super Bear. So, although almost all of the investors that the economic situation in China than 98 years, the Southeast Asian financial crisis worse, but no one shouted to the stock market dropped a thousand points of the slogan. Even by China International Capital Corporation that the stock market is still down 20% of the risk. I also think that 1500 point of rigid support a strong effort. Therefore, the current stock of the overall systemic risk, it is essential to release the finished. Junction down to the real cause investors who are still interested in the context of the Great Depression, has the excuse is the eradication of differences, and expand market share in the enterprise itself. I do not know my friends have noted that the recent Shanghai A share index although the downward adjustment in apparent momentum, but the index for small and medium-sized plate instead of a strong anomaly, and has two days to 60 days in the Straddle the line at the top of the run. It also seems to show a phenomenon in a rational market funds for the breakdown of the mining industry and strategic positions, has been out of stock of the impact of systemic risk, and no one psychological clearly in a bear market is unearthed Su Ning, these Maotai Niugu large. In the long term, investment uncertainty will be the first choice for rational investors. As a result, my view is: in 2009 the stock market will not see lines to buy shares, stocks do look at the index, it is necessary to do more fundamental research.