2008年11月7日星期五
Obama was elected to accelerate the U.S. stock market bottomed out?
Obama was elected in the new U.S. president's term of office the same day, U.S. stocks rose across the board, to further consolidate the results of a rebound in the near future. However, market analysts view, Obama was elected to the stock market's positive significance may not have such a clear, he just happens to the stock market has fallen too far to catch up with a good time to rebound. From economic fundamentals, the stock market continues to face economic recession and falling corporate profits and other risks. Analysts are of the view that historical experience, the U.S. stock market may have rebounded in a large-scale brewing market. Bloomberg statistics show that, compared to 1975, 1982 and the end of 1991, the previous cycle of economic recession, the U.S. S & P 500 may be about to launch a decent rebound, based on the judge's main index is to look at the last high point The reduction and time-span. So far this year alone, the market value of the U.S. stock market lost more than 6,000,000,000,000 U.S. dollars. In the past few days in a row U.S. stocks rebounded last week hit a five-year low of 848.92 points, the S & P 500 index has now gained a total of 18%, since October 9 last year, the high point of the narrow margin back to 36% . However, the year the index is still down 32% for 1937, the largest decline since the same period. Credit Suisse's Private Banking Department is responsible for business investment, said Robert, the stock market will usually be aware of all that economic recovery has begun before the reversal. The new president will not often have the existing economic problems be blamed, but if circumstances change after the turn for the better, and that the new president will be counted as credit. Economists have predicted that if the current economic recession of the last century and the age of 70 as serious, then learning from history, this round of the recession may be bottoming out around July next year. In accordance with the stock market early in the bottom of the economic theory, S & P 500 index is expected to start in February next year a new round of bull market. New York, who manages assets of 10,000,000,000 U.S. dollars of fund managers said that if the U.S. economy is expected to be out of the recession in the near future, Obama will no doubt benefit from ZF has introduced a series of economic stimulus and relief measures for the bank, which in fact "Succession" to have a better stock market. Prudential International, an investment strategist said that the current economic and financial market issues in the new president takes office before, but ZF has been activated in the relevant measures to improve the economy and stabilize the market. However, some market participants cited the history of statistical data analysis, according to past experience, the new president of the Democratic Party since he took office in the first month, the U.S. stock market tends to decrease. Bloomberg statistics show that since 1932, when Democrats into the White House, the S & P 500 in the following month average fell 0.9 percent. Yesterday, European and U.S. stock index futures and stock market performance also seems to indicate, even if the stock market is going to be reversed, the process may also be repeated, especially in light of the current economic situation is still not optimistic. Major European stock markets fell sharply in early trading on the 5th, the end of the previous six consecutive trading days up. As of yesterday, Beijing time 20:20, the Paris CAC40 Index and the London FTSE 100 index dropped 1.9 percent and 1.6 percent, the Frankfurt DAX index fell 1.1 percent. The day before the three major indexes rose more than 4%. U.S. stock index futures also fell sharply. S & P 500 futures fell 1.5 percent. The day before, the index rose 4.1 percent, to return to the top of the 1,000-point mark. Analysts said that the historic Obama won the U.S. presidential election, eliminating a major market uncertainty. However, investors soon realized that the new president took office could not immediately change the status quo of the weak U.S. economy. European stock markets in early trading, some of the weak performance of the news release of top stocks decline. Among them, the world's largest iron and steel companies Arcelor Mittal dropped 9 percent, the company previously announced that it would substantially cut, while lowered profit expectations of Carlsberg were down 8%. BNP Paribas fell more than 1 percent, the bank said third-quarter profit plummeted 56 percent.
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